After a slow start during the first quarter of 2012, the Park City real estate market turned the corner and finished with three relatively strong quarters. Only 340 units were sold during the first quarter of 2012, this is the lowest number of units sold since the first quarter of 2010. However, during the second quarter there were 491 units sold, the highest since the fourth quarter of 2007. In the fourth quarter of 2012 there were 502 units sold, up over 100 units from the fourth quarter of 2011. This is a 25% quarterly increase of units sold in just one year.
The rolling 12 month total number of units sold in December of 2012 was 1842, a 10% increase over the 12 months ending in December 2011. This also amounts to the highest number of units sold in a twelve month period since July of 2008. The six month rolling average ending in December was the highest since January of 2008, indicating that units were selling at a brisker rate in the second half of 2012 than in the first half and that the market is continually improving. This momentum is likely to continue through the first half of 2013.
The number of active listings in the Park City market continues on a declining trajectory dropping to 1959 listings in December. Active listings have not been this low since July of 2006. At the end of December there was a 12.76 month’s supply of units in the market, down from 16.63 months a year ago. The absorption rate has not been at this level since May of 2007, and is well below the peak reached in August of 2009 when there was a 40.77 month’s supply of units.
With listings on the decline, the absorption rate moving in a positive direction and the number of units sold on the rise there is pressure starting to mount on pricing. The median sales price in the local market at the end of 2012 was 548,000 compared to 523,000 at the end of 2011. May 2009 was the last time the median home price was at this level.
The 12 month rolling total volume sold in the market reached $1.24 billion in December 2012. This is the highest total volume sold since October 2008. At that time there were 1600 units sold to equal the 1.2 billion in sales, in 2012 there were 1800 units sold to equal the same amount demonstrating the decrease in home values over the four year period of time. However, the 1.24 billion in sales over the 12 month period ending in December 2012 is a 15% increase over the 12 months ending December 2011. During the same time frame the quantity of units sold was up 10% indicating there has been a rise in home prices over the past year.
Two final numbers worth noting in respect to the market are the percent of listings that have sold and the percent of asking price received by sellers. At the end of December 52.66% of all properties listed during the previous 12 months were sold. Not since August of 2006 has the percentage of listed homes sold been this high however at that time the measure was contracting and at this time it is growing. The percent of asking price received has remained at a steady rate of 95% over the past several months, signifying that sellers are holding more firm to their asking prices and not quite as willing to negotiate on pricing with buyers.
All major market indicators show that the Park City real estate and the greater Wasatch Back real estate market is on a solid path to recovery. What has been a buyer’s market for the past several years is starting to balance out and become a more equitable market between buyers and sellers. There are of course certain segments and geographical areas that are not performing as well as others but the overall market is stable and is expected to remain this way in 2013.
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